时变海场景双基SAR回波实时模拟方法研究

基于时变海场景双站散射机理,结合双基合成孔径雷达(SAR,Synthetic Aperture Radar)成像几何模型,提出了一种时变海场景双基SAR射频回波信号实时模拟方法。针对时变海场景的复杂耦合散射,采用多径近似理论建立了双基SAR海面目标回波信号模型,提取了时变海面双基SAR系统响应函数,结合高性能计算技术、同步动态随机存取(SDRAM)技术以及全系统交换设计,实现了时变海场景双基SAR射频回波信号实时模拟,最后仿真测试结果验证了该方法的有效性。     

协同虚拟维修过程中的虚拟人体维修操作控制

针对操作人员难以在有限的光学运动捕捉设备捕捉范围内自由运动的问题,开展了协同虚拟维修过程中的虚拟人体维修操作控制研究。基于光学运动捕捉设备对操作人员的下肢动作进行捕捉,根据实时识别结果控制虚拟人体进行大范围运动。针对维修操作过程中的虚拟人体手部运动控制,分析了虚拟人体的手部交互过程,提出了一种基于动态贝叶斯网络的维修操作智能辅助方法。以某液压缸协同式虚拟维修操作仿真平台为例验证了方法的有效性。该方法实现了对虚拟人体维修操作过程的有效控制,具有实时性好、交互性与感知性强等优点。     

基于可接受性标准的复杂产品仿真系统在线评估框架

针对当前复杂仿真系统评估的滞后性问题,提出了基于可接受性标准(Acceptability Criteria,AC)的仿真在线评估方法。通过定性和定量AC到指标的映射模型来建立评估指标体系;引入指标集和评估函数,提出了仿真评估流程有限自动机七元组模型,给出仿真流程到评估自动机的映射关系和基于数据驱动的状态转移机制,实现评估过程自动化执行过程;基于上述成果设计了在线评估工具,通过案例验证了在线评估方法的有效性,表明该方法能够有效解决仿真系统评估滞后性问题。     

复杂仿真系统重用模型可信度评估方法

在资源高度共享的今天,模型重用可增强仿真应用的灵活性和可扩展性,是复杂仿真系统构建的必然选择。然而,评估多模型组合仿真下的可信性是模型能否实现有效重用的基本问题。针对面向实物和面向数值解算两个不同应用环境的仿真模型重用,提出基于偏差传播的仿真重用模型可信度评估方法,详细介绍了各自建模方式及评估方法。以无人机复杂仿真系统为例,通过与经典可信度评估方法对比,说明了该方法可降低在重用模型可信度方面的评估难度,验证了方法的可行性。     

Introducing an External Terminal Operator or Not? The Decision of Ports in a Duopoly Market

Facing with increasing competition, many ports are taking innovative approaches to improve productivity and profits. Among a variety of methods, introducing external terminal operators(ETOs) while the port acts as a landlord to collect "rents" from those operators for conducting terminal activities inside the port is regarded as an effective way and is commonly observed in practices.This paper analyzes the decisions of two competing ports about whether to introduce their respective ETOs using a three-stage non-cooperative game model when there already exists a port's self-operation terminal operator(STO). At the first stage, the two ports simultaneously decide whether to introduce an ETO. If a port decided to introduce an ETO, at the second stage, it will further decide the unit fee to charge from the ETO. At the third stage, the two ports and the introduced ETO(s) simultaneously decide their respective profit-maximizing output levels. The findings indicate the equilibrium is both ports will introduce their respective ETOs, but when the ports and ETOs are substitutable in the sense of having the same level of productivity, the equilibrium solution is only one port should introduce an ETO. And simulation results show that even if one of ETOs is inefficient this still hold true.     

The Differentiated Effect of Administrative Policy in China's Housing Market——Based on the Heterogeneous Households Multi-Agent Model

Since 2010, Chinese government has introduced a series of administrative policies to limit speculation in the housing market to stabilize price fluctuations and keep the housing market in a healthy state of development. In order to investigate whether administrative policy can play its due role, this paper constructs a comprehensive bottom-up housing market heterogeneous households multiagent model(HHMAM) to undertake research on the differentiated effect of administrative policy in different cities. The empirical studies find that: 1) Administrative policy that increases interest rates will cause housing prices to continue to decline in the long term, but they will resume a rising trend after reaching the lowest point; 2) If the government cancels a property-purchasing limitation, housing prices will continue to rise; and 3) investors tend to invest in 1~(st)-tier cities due to the high demand and greater likelihood of appreciation in these cities.     

A Constrained Interval-Valued Linear Regression Model: A New Heteroscedasticity Estimation Method

Linear regression models for interval-valued data have been widely studied. Most literatures are to split an interval into two real numbers, i.e., the left- and right-endpoints or the center and radius of this interval, and fit two separate real-valued or two dimension linear regression models. This paper is focused on the bias-corrected and heteroscedasticity-adjusted modeling by imposing order constraint to the endpoints of the response interval and weighted linear least squares with estimated covariance matrix, based on a generalized linear model for interval-valued data. A three step estimation method is proposed. Theoretical conclusions and numerical evaluations show that the proposed estimator has higher efficiency than previous estimators.

     

Incorporating textual and management factors into financial distress prediction: A comparative study of machine learning methods

Financial distress prediction (FDP) has been widely considered as a promising approach to reducing financial losses. While financial information comprises the traditional factors involved in FDP, nonfinancial factors have also been examined in recent studies. In light of this, the purpose of this study is to explore the integrated factors and multiple models that can improve the predictive performance of FDP models. This study proposes an FDP framework to reveal the financial distress features of listed Chinese companies, incorporating financial, management, and textual factors, and evaluating the prediction performance of multiple models in different time spans. To develop this framework, this study employs the wrapper-based feature selection method to extract valuable features, and then constructs multiple single classifiers, ensemble classifiers, and deep learning models in order to predict financial distress. The experiment results indicate that management and textual factors can supplement traditional financial factors in FDP, especially textual ones. This study also discovers that integrated factors collected 4 years prior to the predicted benchmark year enable a more accurate prediction, and the ensemble classifiers and deep learning models developed can achieve satisfactory FDP performance. This study makes a novel contribution as it expands the predictive factors of financial distress and provides new findings that can have important implications for providing early warning signals of financial risk.     

基于生成对抗网络的无载体信息隐藏

提出了一种基于生成对抗网络的无载体信息隐藏方法.发送方用伪装图像和Improved Wasserstein GAN生成一张与秘密图像相同的图像,发送方发送伪装图像,接收方收到伪装图像后用生成器生成和秘密图像视觉上相同的图像.与现有的信息隐藏方法相比,该方法不需要修改载体,能够有效地抵抗隐写分析工具的检测,能够达到秘密信息安全传输的目的.     

多胺基针刺布的制备及其在H2S去除中的应用

为了解决含硫化氢(H_2S)废气的高效净化问题,直接以腈纶针刺布为原材料,通过一步反应制备了多胺基针刺布,测得其交换容量为5.9 mmol/g,并用红外光谱和热分析技术对其进行了表征;研究了碱液存在下多胺基针刺布对H_2S的去除性能及气体流量、碱液浓度、增重率、氧含量和H_2S浓度等因素的影响,结果表明碱液和多胺基针刺布的协同作用对气体中的H_2S具有优异的去除性能.吸附饱和的多胺基针刺布可用碱液再生,且再生后性能无明显变化,在所设定实验条件下,针刺布处理容量和碱吸收容量分别稳定在30.6 mg/g和697.2 mg/g左右.